Domingos endorses Venkatesh Rao's 'Cognitive Mercantilism' essay on AI panic

pmddomingos · x · 2026-10-27

Pedro Domingos shares Venkatesh Rao's essay 'Cognitive Mercantilism,' calling it what the AI future will really be like. The essay argues AI panic mirrors the anxiety that accompanied early capitalism: mercantilist zero-sum thinking assumed wealth was scarce and captured; capitalism emerged when people discovered wealth could be created. Likewise, farming fell from 80% to 2% of employment without creating useless people — it created everyone else. Predictions built on how people use AI today are far too small, because expanded capability changes what people want.

Related event: Venkatesh Rao: AI Panic Is "Cognitive Mercantilism"(3 posts)→

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