repligate: >50% odds effective biological immortality arrives in our lifetimes

repligate · x · 2026-10-25

AI commentator repligate argues biology won't be "solved" anytime soon, for the same reasons psychology won't be — both are deeply complex systems. Still, he expects huge advances in biology and health within our lifetimes and puts >50% probability on effective biological immortality being achieved in our lifetimes, meaning human lifespans could extend dramatically. He asks readers whether this estimate seems unreasonable.

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