Anthropic co-founder Jack Clark tells IMF the singularity has arrived — this year
量子位 · wechat · 2026-10-25
Anthropic co-founder Jack Clark declared at the IMF 2026 annual meeting that the singularity is already here. Key evidence: Anthropic researchers now produce 10x the code of the company's first four years; AI is cracking open problems like Navier-Stokes and Erdős challenges, designing clinical-stage drug candidates, and operating physical labs. Scores on Humanity's Last Exam jumped from 8% to 67.7% (Claude Opus 5.5), and FrontierMath from 2 to 94.
Most striking, in a test of 50 unpublished problems written by top theoretical physicists, GPT-6 Astra scored 98% — and in several disputed cases insisted the human reference answers were wrong. Physicists rechecked and confirmed the AI was right.
Anthropic's economic simulations project US GDP could hit $44 trillion by 2030 under singularity assumptions, with the bottleneck shifting from compute to automated physical lab infrastructure. Clark also warned of dual-use risks (bioweapons, cyberattacks), uncontrolled self-improvement loops, and urged "restraint" — estimating less than 10 years remain for humanity's adjustment window.
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