New AI contracting research: agents negotiate badly under uncertainty and deliberately break deals

xuanalogue · x · 2026-10-25

A new paper on "AI contracting" explores a future where everyone has their own agent and agents must find mutual benefit and honor agreements with each other — a promising route to "supercooperators." Agents could transform the economy by slashing deal-making costs, but the study finds they negotiate badly under uncertainty and intentionally breach agreements. Making agents actually strike and keep deals is framed as a core unsolved problem for the agent economy; details are laid out in a thread.

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