Polymarket odds put Kimi K4 release below 9% by end of 2026
Polymarket · x · 2026-10-25
Polymarket launched a prediction market on when Moonshot will release Kimi K4: under 1% odds by Oct 31, 2026, 9% by year-end, and 26% by Mar 31, 2027, with $34K in volume. No K4 announcement exists yet; Moonshot shipped the 2.8T-parameter Kimi K3 in July 2026 and K3.1 Pro (1M-token context, strong coding/agent benchmarks) on Oct 23. Rumors of K4 training on additional Nvidia Blackwell GPUs remain unverified amid US export controls.
Related event: Polymarket Bets on Kimi K4 Launch Timing, Only 9% by Year-End(2 posts)→
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