Agents reproduce most published findings: ~80-90% correct signs, >70% within CI

RexDouglass · x · 2026-10-24

Sharing results from ellliottt: agents tasked with reproducing published empirical findings get the sign of coefficients correct 80–90% of the time, and over 70% of estimates fall within the original 95% confidence interval (best models exceed 80%). A real step toward automated reproducibility of published research.

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