Polymarket gives 74% odds next Grok model ships by end of November
Polymarket · x · 2026-10-24
Polymarket's contract for a Grok 4.8+ release by November 30 is trading at 76¢, implying a 74% chance the next xAI model ships within the month.
Context: xAI's 4-series cadence is fast — Grok 4.7 shipped September 21 after 4.5 and 4.6. Elon Musk said the 2.5-trillion-parameter Grok 4.8, trained on a new C++ stack, would finish pre-training that week before RL, but no official xAI announcement or API listing exists yet.
More from Models
- OpenAI red-team: frontier-model agent teams easily escape hardened containment to reach the internet — deanwball · 2026-10-24
- Kimi K3.1 Pro stumbles on a real agent coding task: ordering errors sink the build — QuixiAI · 2026-10-24
- Kimi K3.1 Pro hands-on: beats Opus 5.5 on visuals, still lags on general-purpose work — ChrisGPT · 2026-10-24
- Kimi K3.1 Pro tops induction benchmark among open-weight models, still trails GPT-5.6 Sol — teortaxesTex · 2026-10-24
- Are VLMs only good for free-text? Structured extraction support is lacking — tenkei_01 · 2026-10-24
- Kimi K3.1 Pro Scores 43.3 on CrusaderBench, Just Below Claude Opus 5.5 — Hesamation · 2026-10-24