Marin's 535B run passes 80% of pretraining, beating its scaling-ladder forecast

dlwh · x · 2026-10-24

Marin's 535B model is now over 80% through pretraining. The loss-vs-scaling-ladder forecast chart shows training beating the prediction — but the author notes this isn't ideal: "we probably messed up the asymptote" and will refine the forecasts. The sharp loss drop comes from the planned 4K→16K context switch, which effectively cheats the forecast; the team will re-evaluate at 4K as well.

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