Polymarket: 94% odds Anthropic hits $1.5T valuation, 9% odds it goes bankrupt
GaryMarcus · x · 2026-10-24
Gary Marcus shared a striking Polymarket barbell: a 94% chance Anthropic reaches a $1.5TN valuation by Dec 31 ($6M+ volume) alongside a 9% chance of bankruptcy by Dec 31, 2027 ($2.6M volume). Both probabilities have drifted slightly upward recently.
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