GPT-4 once exposed top-5 token probs with no CoT—you could have distilled it for under $10M

carrigmat · x · 2026-10-23

Developer carrigmat notes that back in 2023, $10M still counted as a very expensive training run—yet early GPT-4 gave you top-5 token probabilities with no chain-of-thought to hide, and given today's stringent anti-distillation measures, you could probably have recovered the whole model for under $10M. A sharp observation on how fast the industry shifted from open logprob outputs to locked-down distillation defenses.

Related event: Researcher: Early GPT-4's Exposed Token Probabilities Made Distillation Cheap(2 posts)→

Original post →

More from Models

Models channel →