Event sequence forecasting as generative modeling reveals a realism-accuracy trade-off

Dmitry Osin · hf · 2026-10-23

A paper on Hugging Face reframes event sequence forecasting as conditional generative modeling, exposing a systematic trade-off between the realism of sampled futures and their predictive accuracy. The authors propose an algorithm that converts generative realism into predictive accuracy, closing the evaluation gap between the two objectives.

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