~65% odds the AI-cyberattack worriers are right: K3 looks like a different level
NathanpmYoung · x · 2026-10-23
Nathan Young assigns 65% probability that AI-cyberattack worriers are right and the next 6-12 months get rough for cybersecurity, citing tenobrus's analysis of K3. The argument: tuned cyber-attack, scam, and blackmail-gathering variants of K3 are only a moderate effort away—and K3 itself will likely automate that effort even for people with zero ML capability. Open-source models have long hit frontier benchmarks but folded on real tasks; this one, the author argues, looks real, and the window for prevention is closing.
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