Why predicting the future fails: too little imagination, too much discomfort

pwlot · x · 2026-10-23

The author argues future prediction is constrained by two things: a shortage of imagination and true visionaries (whom he suggests finding in sci-fi and transhumanist circles), and a reluctance to extrapolate trends that feel uncomfortable — so we fail to read the writing on the wall precisely because it's weird and unsettling.

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