New paper makes 9 falsifiable predictions toward a major AI-enabled terror attack by 2027-2028
StephenLCasper · x · 2026-10-23
A new paper led by KamacheeMax with Stephen Casper among authors conducts a pre-mortem on which choices across the model lifecycle might contribute to the first major AI-enabled cyber, bio, or chem terror attack. The authors assess such an event could occur as early as 2027-2028, and derive 9 falsifiable predictions plus 2 concrete scenarios — turning speculative AI risk talk into testable claims.
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