Polymarket gives just 8% odds the US enacts an AI safety bill by end of 2026

Polymarket · x · 2026-10-22

Prediction market Polymarket has opened a market on whether the US will enact an AI safety bill, pricing the probability at just 8% by December 31, 2026. Traders are clearly pessimistic, signaling that AI regulation legislation is seen as unlikely to make it through Congress in the near term.

Related event: Polymarket Bets Against US AI Safety Legislation Passing(2 posts)→

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