Eight months on, Citrini's '2028 Global Intelligence Crisis' essay looks prescient

teortaxesTex · x · 2026-10-22

stevehou argues the reaction to Citrini and Alap Shah's "2028 Global Intelligence Crisis" essay swung from overreaction (headline-driven) to underreaction (dismissed as sci-fi). With 8 months of out-of-sample evidence, he recommends re-reading the now-free piece, calling it possibly the most prescient economic writing of the post-COVID era. The essay is a thought experiment framed as a June 2028 macro memo: what if continued AI bullishness turns out to be bearish.

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