Software, math, now cyber: the recurring 'phase change' pattern of AI disruption

john__allard · x · 2026-10-22

The author describes a repeating pattern of AI disruption: frontier capability appears, insider predictions get dismissed, proofs of concept are written off, normalcy persists — then a phase change shatters an equilibrium overnight. Software engineering went first (2026 changed programming more than the prior 15 years combined), mathematics followed (Jacobian Conjecture fell, hundreds of frontier results dropped overnight), and cyber is now in the throes of it despite white-hat head-start operations like Daybreak and Glasswing. He suspects 3D modeling, animation and video editing are next, and urges readers to note this vertigo as a reference point for what the climb toward ASI will feel like.

Related event: AI Capability Phase Changes Sweep Industries: Cybersecurity Next After Software and Math(2 posts)→

Original post →

More from AGI Musings

AGI Musings channel →