Polymarket puts 62% odds on next Claude Opus landing by end of November
Polymarket · x · 2026-10-22
Polymarket traders now price a next-gen Claude Opus (5.6+) release before Nov 30 at 62% (83% by Dec 31), with $11k volume. Sentiment is driven by Anthropic's rapid 2026 cadence: Opus 5.5 launched Sept 22 with stronger agentic coding, adaptive thinking and alignment safeguards, Haiku 5.5 shipped Oct 7, and Fable 5.5 is expected soon. Unconfirmed reports of silent routing from Opus 5.5 to an unseen model have fueled speculation, though Anthropic hasn't published a model ID, benchmarks, or pricing. The thread also notes Anthropic's launch of Claude Duet, an always-on proactive assistant.
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