Ben Todd: real research tasks are only ~1 year behind the METR time-horizon
ben_j_todd · x · 2026-10-22
Ramez's posts cite OpenAI's internal research-automation report showing models' 80% time horizon is just 15 minutes on R&D work, suggesting limits to recursive self-improvement. Ben Todd pushes back: that's a positive update—realistic research tasks are only about a year behind the METR horizon.
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