DeepSeek's token density yields ~$38/GPU-hr revenue vs $3.50 for raw IaaS, engineer estimates

bookwormengr · x · 2026-10-21

An engineer's revenue math on compute economics: bare-metal IaaS at $3.50/GPU-hr generates $13.6B per GW per year, while DeepSeek's reported production token density — running DeepInfer with speculative decoding (DSpark) and 96% KV-cache hit rate at high token saturation — is equivalent to $38.00 per GPU-hour. That works out to roughly $147.7B per GW per year; even with 33% extra slack for power inefficiencies, $100B per GW is a reasonable assumption. That's a >10x gap in revenue per unit of compute between renting raw GPUs and serving tokens.

Related event: DeepSeek's Inference Density: $38 Revenue per GPU-Hour(3 posts)→

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