giffmana: 10x cost per capability level is a property of search-like mechanisms
giffmana · x · 2026-10-20
In a debate with Dimitris Papail, giffmana argues boundedness alone can't explain why each capability/market-share level costs 10x more to capture — it looks like a property of search-like mechanisms where easy wins come first and further gains sit in a harder-to-explore tail. He adds his skepticism about 'fully owning a market' may only be hindsight bias.
Related event: Researchers Debate Why Each AI Capability Level Costs ~10x More(4 posts)→
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