Intelligence Saturation: 10-Point Model Edge Now Buys Just 20% More Developer Traffic

khademinori · x · 2026-10-20

Per The Information, OpenAI, Anthropic and other leading labs face a growing challenge: better models aren't attracting proportionally more usage. A 10-point intelligence advantage now earns just 20% more developer traffic, down from nearly 69% in late 2025.

Prof. Konrad Kording, who amplified the report, calls it "intelligence saturation"—an idea he says people once called crazy. The commercial return on model capability gaps appears to be decaying fast.

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