Economist: don't trust high-confidence predictions about the future of the labor market
robseamans · x · 2026-10-20
A widely shared quote from economist Berger: "I strongly recommend against trusting high-confidence predictions about the future of the labor market (including any in this post)." Rob Seamans cites this self-declared humility as a mark of trustworthiness — itself a caution against the many confident "X% of jobs will disappear" predictions in AI-labor discourse.
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