GitHub's October outages disrupted writes for 12,000+ orgs; Polymarket prices 24¢ on next critical incident
Polymarket · x · 2026-10-20
Context for the outage market: GitHub had two same-root-cause write-operation outages on Oct 7 totaling 19 minutes, hitting pushes, merges, PRs, Issues, Actions and auth across 12,000+ organizations, with error rates peaking near 9% and no data loss. The Polymarket market has $1,964 volume, with Yes at 24¢. A detailed post-incident report is due in the monthly availability update.
Related event: GitHub Suffers Another Global Outage as Polymarket Bets on More Failures(2 posts)→
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