If scaling holds, model training becomes a monopoly with one insurmountable leader

abhiadesai · x · 2026-10-19

The author pushes back on the claim that model training is a hyper-competitive, non-monopoly business: if scaling continues to hold, one lab will eventually take an insurmountable lead, assemble the most compute, and rapidly dominate — and a singleton is by nature monopolistic. He adds that Trump seems to grasp this: whoever wins superintelligence, wins.

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