Claude Opus 5.5 in agent mode gets multiple testing corrections backwards, user finds

Sauers_ · x · 2026-10-19

Sauers reports that Claude Opus 5.5 in default agent mode doesn't know how or when to properly correct for multiple testing. Given 10 independent tests all yielding p = 0.1, the model tightens the significance threshold — but under the null you'd expect a uniform p-value distribution, so 10 near-identical p-values is itself unusual. The statistically correct move is the opposite: a meta-analytic test combining evidence, which would push p far below 0.1. A concrete example of statistical reasoning blind spots in frontier agents doing data analysis.

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