LLMs have been superhuman at next-word prediction since 2019 — only hard words remain

mlpowered · x · 2026-10-19

mlpowered argues that when people imagine next-word training they picture phone autocomplete-level tasks. But LLMs have been superhuman at next-word prediction since 2019 — they long ago ran out of easy words. What remains are hard ones: the answer to a complex math problem, a novel's twist, a PhD thesis's conclusion — predicting those well requires building world understanding.

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