Gary Marcus: third-party tracker says he's the most accurate big-name AI predictor, 11/11

GaryMarcus · x · 2026-10-18

Gary Marcus pushes back on the persistent claim that he's 'always wrong,' citing third-party analysis from @aipredictionx scoring him 11/11 on resolved AI predictions—including his million-dollar bet that AI wouldn't beat any single human by end of 2025. He admits a few misses like the genAI bubble timing but says critics never bring data. Self-defense drama, with obvious caveats about how the prediction set was chosen.

Related event: Gary Marcus Cites Third-Party Tracker Claiming All 11 AI Predictions Were Right(2 posts)→

Original post →

More from AGI Musings

AGI Musings channel →