Gary Marcus: third-party tracker says all 11 of his AI predictions scored correct
GaryMarcus · x · 2026-10-18
Gary Marcus pushes back on persistent attacks on X, saying he faces accusations of being "always wrong" hourly, almost never backed by concrete data — though he admits a few predictions (like GenAI bubble timing) did miss.
He cites an analysis by @aipredictionx finding him "the most accurate big name we track": 11 resolved AI predictions, 11 scored correct, including the million-dollar bet that AI wouldn't be smarter than any single human by end of 2025. He questions why so many people are motivated to lie about him.
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