Polymarket opens betting market on who releases the next Gemini Argon model

Polymarket · x · 2026-10-18

Polymarket launched a new prediction market, "Next Gemini Argon released by...?", betting on who ships the next Gemini Argon model and when. Current pricing implies roughly 23-26% odds of a release by end of January and 75-89% by end of 2026. The market description includes purported details of a "Gemini 4 Argon" release (1M-token output limit, $2/$10 per million tokens pricing) whose authenticity is questionable — treat as market filler, not confirmed facts.

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