Prediction: jagged AGI triggers RSI first, we're already 90% of the way there
haider1 · x · 2026-10-18
Haider predicts AI progress unfolds as jagged AGI (superhuman at the key tasks needed to unlock recursive self-improvement) → RSI → full AGI, with the same pattern repeating for ASI. He argues we're already at least 90% of the way to jagged AGI in terms of having enough intelligence to kick off RSI.
More from AGI Musings
- The ethics one-liner: a deontologist/virtue ethicist for consequentialist reasons — JacquesThibs · 2026-10-18
- Hot take: future generations will scoff that we thought LLMs were intelligent — TimDarcet · 2026-10-18
- Counterpoint: light-speed limits make space-driven GDP growth polynomial, not exponential — QuintinPope5 · 2026-10-18
- Space, not AI, will make GDP go vertical, argues AI researcher in macro debate — alz_zyd_ · 2026-10-18
- Chris Albon on the next 20 years: endless 'end of work' proclamations, yet ever more to build — bradneuberg · 2026-10-18
- Coevolution Conference heads to SF Bay Area Dec 2026 to tackle human-AI coevolution — bradneuberg · 2026-10-18