Polymarket puts US AI safety bill odds at just 7% by end of 2026

Polymarket · x · 2026-10-18

Polymarket's contract for a US AI safety bill enacted by Dec 31, 2026 trades at 9%, implying just a 7-9% chance; the June 30, 2027 contract sits at 43%. Market rules require provisions like release bans/federal review, training limits, usage restrictions, or human-in-the-loop requirements. The post also cites cybersecurity experts warning that AI agents are highly vulnerable to phishing emails with hidden malicious instructions.

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