Thirder maps to near-certain simulation, Halfer to 50%
AaronBergman18 · x · 2026-10-17
A follow-up in the same thread: the Thirder position corresponds to being certainly in a simulation, the Halfer position to a 50% likelihood, and other Sleeping Beauty positions around 5/12 map to simulation probabilities around 1/4. Same event as the thread's opening post.
Related event: Simulation argument mapped onto the Sleeping Beauty problem(3 posts)→
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