Vals AI moves recursive self-improvement forecast to July 2027 as Opus 5.5 tops RSI index

141_1337 · reddit · 2026-10-17

Vals AI updated its RSI Index measuring autonomous LLM R&D: Claude Opus 5.5 became the first model to beat a published human reference on AI model training tasks. The firm moved its full recursive self-improvement prediction to July 2027, with Anthropic's extrapolation hitting 50% by March 2027 and 60% by July 2027, while OpenAI's path projects 50% by January 2028. The index includes models from Anthropic, OpenAI, Moonshot, Alibaba, Google, Meta and others.

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