Over half of Anthropic staff expect AI to make Nobel-worthy discoveries by 2027
scaling01 · x · 2026-10-17
A survey of Anthropic employees finds more than half believe AI will be able to produce Nobel Prize-worthy discoveries by 2027.
The accompanying chart compares Anthropic staff with US adults on whether AI can match skilled professionals: staff are far more optimistic—91% expect Nobel-level discoveries by 2030 vs 39% of the public, with similarly large gaps on publishing studies and building software products.
A quoted tweet notes the staff answers imply 17.1% GDP growth in 2030.
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