Epoch AI: open-weight cyber capabilities trail closed frontier by just 6-7 months as GLM-5.3 outscores GPT-5.4

teortaxesTex · x · 2026-10-17

Epoch AI's Cyber ECI benchmark finds open-weight models trail the closed frontier in cyber capabilities by only 6–7 months. Zai's GLM-5.3 is the highest-scoring open-weight model at 160, beating OpenAI's GPT-5.4 released in March.

On top of that data, xeophon argues standardized risk testing should be abolished: the charts undersell both open and closed capabilities. A more realistic red-team setup would jailbreak open + closed models, run them under a strong (possibly bespoke) harness with unlimited resources, and let them rip.

The takeaway: cyber capability diffusion is faster than commonly assumed, and static benchmark-style safety evaluations likely underestimate real misuse risk.

Related event: Epoch AI: Open-weight models only 6-7 months behind closed in cyber capabilities(2 posts)→

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