Polymarket odds of Tesla shipping Optimus this year jump 5 points to 12% after flying Roadster reveal

Polymarket · x · 2026-10-16

On Polymarket, the contract asking whether Tesla will release its Optimus humanoid robot by December 31, 2026 surged about 5 percentage points to a 12% chance following the unveiling of the flying Roadster, with roughly $132K in volume. Traders still overwhelmingly doubt an on-time launch.

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