Same debate, with chart: can harnesses sustain AI progress past the plateau?

Otherwise-Report1848 · reddit · 2026-10-16

The same Reddit discussion as above, this time with an attached S-curve chart: training data is nearly exhausted, AI slop pollutes new data, and scaling laws show diminishing returns — pointing to a plateau. Yet recent product gains come mostly from better harnesses, not stronger models. The question: can harnesses plus slightly better models still deliver Sonnet-to-Fable-scale jumps?

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