Ethan Mollick: benchmarks miss long-horizon work; small models need orchestration

emollick · x · 2026-10-16

Ethan Mollick argues that nearly all benchmarks test single-answer, short-horizon tasks, while much economically valuable work consists of complex long-horizon tasks where "good enough" intelligence may not be enough.

Saving money with small models in the short term can cost you in work quality: small models can do plenty of valuable work, but for many tasks they should be orchestrated and error-checked by larger ones. He links to a supporting paper.

Related event: Study: Small Accuracy Gains Compound Over Long-Horizon Tasks(3 posts)→

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