Dwarkesh: Anthropic insider expects AI to match human AI researchers within 9 months
Neurogence · reddit · 2026-10-16
Dwarkesh Patel reveals an Anthropic employee told him two days ago they expect AIs to match humans at AI research within nine months, based on inside information they can't share.
- The insider said it's 'not just vibes' but declined to specify whether it's a new model or an internal evaluation
- Dwarkesh calls it a terrible state of affairs: lab insiders claim evidence making them more worried but aren't allowed to discuss it
- He urges labs to make such evidence public if they truly believe AI research automation is under a year away
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