Open scaling-law questions: NTP on a code repo vs RL on its tasks — which is more compute-efficient?

brianryhuang · x · 2026-10-15

Brian Ryhuang poses a set of PhD-worthy code data scaling-law questions: for a given repo, is next-token prediction (optimizing repo perplexity) or RL on repo tasks more compute-efficient? Do answers change if tasks must be synthesized vs already exist? Can one repo serve both NTP and RL without overfitting or interference — and when? Do repo properties or model capability level shift the answers? No answers given, but a sharp research agenda for code-model training.

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