Security researchers debate whether AI threat extrapolation is speculation or core practice

chrisrohlf · x · 2026-10-15

Security researcher ReworrR argues that dismissing basic extrapolation of AI trends as speculation overlooks that forecasting attacker capabilities and preparing for future threats has long been standard practice in security.

akses0x00 responds that the friction comes from differing time horizons: front-line practitioners deal with 'today/now' risks, while others discuss 'tomorrow' risks, so practicalities pour cold water on future worries. The scenario in the original post is arguably impractical now but not impossible — hypothetically demonstrated by UT in June.

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