Follow-up: 513 Questions Means All HLE Decision Model Gaps Are Statistical Noise

antoine_chaffin · x · 2026-10-14

Clarifying his earlier finding, the author notes no tested decision model picks long answers more often than others — the point is that on 513 questions, a few points of difference is within noise.

Once questions where length helps are removed, every model lands even closer to random guessing and none stands out. When a 0-parameter heuristic tops the leaderboard, the benchmark is mostly measuring noise and dataset artifacts, not knowledge.

Related event: Zero-parameter "pick the longest answer" model beats decision models on HLE benchmark(6 posts)→

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