0-Parameter 'Pick the Longest Answer' Heuristic Tops HLE Decision Benchmark at 20.7%

antoine_chaffin · x · 2026-10-14

Antoine Chaffin measured Jev at 19.7% on HLE's 513 text-only multiple-choice questions (the set behind the AA Decision Index). The twist: always picking the longest option scores 20.7% — above random guessing (16.4%) and every decision model tested, an effect driven mostly by Math and Physics questions.

He stresses no model systematically prefers long answers; rather, with 513 questions, a few points of gap is within noise. Removing length-advantaged questions brings all models closer to random guessing with none standing out.

His takeaway: always inspect the data and run dumb baselines — eval sets are full of length/position biases, and a 0-parameter heuristic topping the leaderboard means the benchmark is mostly measuring noise and dataset artifacts, not knowledge.

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