Do reasoning traces actually matter? A three-stage causal study on distilled DeepSeek R1 models

burkov · x · 2026-10-14

Large reasoning models produce step-by-step thinking before answering, but whether final answers functionally depend on those traces — or the steps are merely cosmetic post-hoc explanations — has been unclear. This study systematically examines the functional and informational connection between intermediate reasoning and final answers across three distilled DeepSeek R1 models, using a three-stage framework combining black-box benchmarks, internal attention analysis, and mechanistic causal interventions, evaluated on MATH-500 and WildBench.

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