Anthropic co-founder Jack Clark now sees full recursive self-improvement arriving in 2027, not 2028
ChrisGPT · x · 2026-10-14
Anthropic co-founder Jack Clark says he now believes full recursive self-improvement (RSI) is more likely to become possible in 2027 rather than 2028, citing rapid gains in AI research capabilities and creative-seeming math breakthroughs. In his May 2026 analysis he had estimated roughly a 30% probability by 2027 and about 60% by 2028 — another notable pull-forward of his timeline.
Related event: Anthropic co-founder Jack Clark moves full RSI timeline up to 2027(6 posts)→
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