Matthew Green: human experts are biased toward futures where they still matter
matthew_d_green · x · 2026-10-14
Cryptographer Matthew Green argues that many AI skeptics are staking their reputations on capabilities plateauing — a bet that pays off hugely if right and costs little if wrong. More fundamentally, he notes, human experts are biased toward predictions in which their own expertise continues to matter, which tilts the scale against AI disruption arguments.
Related event: Cryptographer Calls AI Skepticism a No-Lose Reputation Bet(4 posts)→
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