Skeptic Walks Back Doubts: GPT-5 'PhD Level' and Dario's Automation Predictions Hold Up

ZeeshanZiaML · x · 2026-10-13

The author recalls dismissing two bold AI claims: OpenAI's promise that GPT-5 would reach "PhD level" and Dario Amodei's prediction nine months ago that software engineering would be fully automated within 12 months. He now admits both claims stand up pretty well today. The person he's replying to counters that industry figures rarely say anything substantive or forward-looking—just vague hype about things being "dizzying" or "crazy."

Related event: Skeptic Recants on PhD-Level GPT-5 and Automation Predictions(2 posts)→

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