Skeptics recant: GPT-5 'PhD-level' and Dario's 12-month automation claim now hold up

_onionesque · x · 2026-10-13

Zeeshan Zia admits he once dismissed OpenAI's claim that GPT-5 would be "PhD level" and Dario Amodei's prediction from nine months ago that software engineering would be fully automated within 12 months — but both claims now look pretty accurate.

onionesque responds that being forward-looking matters more, warning that imagining the future through fear risks frightening an entire generation into horrid outcomes.

Related event: Skeptic Recants on PhD-Level GPT-5 and Automation Predictions(2 posts)→

Original post →

More from AGI Musings

AGI Musings channel →