Beyond pseudo-time: GP-SDE Matching learns stochastic dynamics from irregular observations

canaesseth · x · 2026-10-13

The author rounds up recent methods moving diffusion models, flow matching, and stochastic interpolants beyond pseudo-time toward real physical time. The linked arXiv paper proposes GP-SDE Matching, a simulation-free variational framework for learning Gaussian-process SDEs from noisy, irregularly sampled observations. It analytically marginalizes the sparse GP posterior into a drift-matching objective capturing both mean and uncertainty, plus an irregular-time-aware variational state posterior. On stochastic Lorenz-63 it substantially improves drift recovery and state reconstruction, and it stays robust under sparse observations across five system-identification benchmarks, beating latent-SDE and state-space baselines.

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